Catania vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
CAT
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
CAT
0 - 0
BAR
40%
31%
30%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
ASS
3 - 0
CAT
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
CAT
2 - 2
REG
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
CAT
1 - 0
BRE
29%
30%
41%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
REG
2 - 0
CES
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 2
CES
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
CES
3 - 0
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |