Catania vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
CAT
2 - 1
BRE
25%
27%
49%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAT
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
CAT
2 - 0
CES
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
VNZ
1 - 1
CAT
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
CAT
0 - 1
MOD
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CRO
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
ARZ
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ARZ
2 - 2
BRE
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
VIR
0 - 3
ARZ
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ARZ
3 - 0
VIC
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |