Catania vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
NOC
0 - 0
CAT
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
5 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
LOD
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GIU
0 - 1
CAT
29%
26%
44%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 0
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAS
0 - 1
ARZ
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ANC
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
GUA
3 - 1
ARZ
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ARZ
3 - 1
JUS
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |