Catania vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
43%
29%
29%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
TAR
1 - 1
CAT
38%
34%
29%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 1
GEN
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
48%
32%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 1
CAM
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 1
LAZ
44%
32%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
PIS
1 - 1
ARZ
59%
26%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 0
USC
43%
32%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 0
ARZ
56%
27%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
ARZ
43%
32%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |