Catania vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
19.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
27%
14.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 1
REG
62%
26%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAT
54%
29%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
CAT
2 - 2
SPA
49%
31%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAT
43%
34%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 1
SAM
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
ARZ
0 - 1
ATL
29%
35%
36%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
ARZ
43%
32%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
ARZ
2 - 0
TAR
44%
32%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
TER
2 - 0
ARZ
58%
26%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
JUV
4 - 0
ARZ
91%
6%
2%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |