Catania vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
19%
26%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAT
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
CAT
2 - 0
ASS
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
MAN
2 - 0
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
CAT
1 - 0
NAP
24%
32%
45%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
ARZ
0 - 1
FIO
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
USF
2 - 2
ARZ
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
ARZ
0 - 0
LIV
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
CAG
2 - 2
ARZ
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
PIS
3 - 1
ARZ
44%
31%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |