Catanduvense vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAT
59%
22%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 1
NOR
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAO
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 2
CAT
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 4
VFC
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 2
SER
95%
4%
1%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SER
3 - 2
PAU
34%
25%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 1
SER
69%
17%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
OES
2 - 1
SER
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SER
2 - 1
MIR
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |