Catanduvense vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
2 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 3
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
2 - 2
COM
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 2
GUA
33%
26%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
POR
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
GRE
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |