Catanduvense vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
BAT
2 - 2
CAT
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 0
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 2
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAT
47%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 0
CAT
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
OES
2 - 1
NOV
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 1
COM
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
NOV
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
IND
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 2
NOV
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |