Catanduvense vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
3 - 2
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
CAT
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 0
RIO
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
5 - 0
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAO
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
INT
1 - 0
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
MAT
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
DES
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |