Catanduvense vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
PRI
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 2
GUA
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAT
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAT
35%
26%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
INT
1 - 0
NAC
29%
27%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
10 - 0
GRÊ
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |