Catanduvense vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 4
COM
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
INT
2 - 1
CAT
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 3
SAO
30%
26%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 3
TAB
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ATI
0 - 1
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ATI
1 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |