Catanduvense vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CAT
3 - 0
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
CAT
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 0
SER
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAT
59%
22%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 1
NOR
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
FER
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 3
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
BOA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
GAM
0 - 0
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |