Catanduvense vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 0
CAT
62%
21%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
CAT
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
RIO
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
CAT
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 1
CAP
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
ITA
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
ITA
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
RBB
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |