Catanduvense vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 3
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
2 - 2
COM
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 2
GUA
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 2
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 4
CAT
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FER
0 - 2
AUD
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 2
FER
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
VEL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
FER
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
RBB
2 - 1
FER
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |