Catanduvense vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 2
CAT
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
CAT
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 2
POR
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 2
CAT
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
CAP
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 2
CAP
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |