Catanduvense vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
2 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 3
CAT
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
2 - 2
COM
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 0
POR
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
83%
13%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
POR
11%
18%
71%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
RIO
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |