Catanduva vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
USA
1 - 0
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VOT
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 0
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 1
CAT
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
UNI
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAB
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAR
19%
23%
57%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
DES
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |