Catanduva vs Independente SP analysis

Catanduva Independente SP
35 ELO 37
-7.2% Tilt -14.4%
5290º General ELO ranking 25444º
210º Country ELO ranking 685º
ELO win probability
33.5%
Catanduva
23.6%
Draw
42.9%
Independente SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
Catanduva
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.9%
Win probability
Independente SP
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanduva
+93%
-42%
Independente SP

ELO progression

Catanduva
Independente SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanduva
Catanduva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2023
IND
Independente SP
2 - 0
Catanduva
CAT
47%
23%
30%
34 38 4 0
05 Jul. 2023
SKA
SKA Brasil
1 - 1
Catanduva
CAT
24%
21%
55%
34 24 10 0
01 Jul. 2023
CAT
Catanduva
3 - 0
Guarulhos
GUA
51%
22%
28%
34 26 8 0
24 Jun. 2023
CAT
Catanduva
1 - 1
América SP
AME
61%
20%
19%
34 21 13 0
18 Jun. 2023
FRA
Francana
0 - 1
Catanduva
CAT
41%
24%
34%
33 36 3 +1

Matches

Independente SP
Independente SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2023
IND
Independente SP
2 - 0
Catanduva
CAT
47%
23%
30%
38 34 4 0
06 Jul. 2023
GUA
Guarulhos
1 - 2
Independente SP
IND
24%
26%
50%
38 25 13 0
02 Jul. 2023
IND
Independente SP
0 - 2
SKA Brasil
SKA
62%
20%
18%
39 22 17 -1
24 Jun. 2023
IND
Independente SP
4 - 0
São Carlos
SAO
67%
20%
13%
38 26 12 +1
18 Jun. 2023
MOG
Mogi Mirim
1 - 1
Independente SP
IND
29%
26%
45%
38 25 13 0
X