Çatalca Spor vs Nevşehir Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
13º
14º
30
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Çatalca Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
6 - 1
CAT
52%
26%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 1
BAL
43%
26%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BER
2 - 3
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
TBP
1 - 0
CAT
29%
24%
48%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAT
1 - 3
AFK
43%
26%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nevşehir Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NSG
0 - 2
BUR
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
NSG
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NSG
2 - 1
BER
55%
25%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TBP
1 - 0
NSG
26%
25%
50%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
AFK
2 - 0
NSG
41%
24%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |