Castuera vs CP Valdivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EXT
6 - 0
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
AZU
56%
21%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 1
CAS
43%
25%
32%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 1
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
DPC
25%
25%
50%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
CP Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 4
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DPC
3 - 1
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
SAM
57%
23%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COR
3 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
DBN
42%
27%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |