Castuera vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDD
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 3
CAS
64%
21%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
AZU
19%
23%
59%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
JER
4 - 0
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
MOR
16%
21%
64%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
COR
3 - 0
TRU
72%
18%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 0
CAL
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
EXT
2 - 3
TRU
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TRU
2 - 1
CPC
10%
18%
71%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | +4 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
DBN
3 - 0
TRU
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |