Castuera vs CD Quintana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 1
CAS
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
AMA
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 1
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
EMD
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
EMD
1 - 2
CAS
34%
25%
41%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
QUI
0 - 1
CAS
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 1
QUI
28%
21%
51%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 1
CDS
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 1
QUI
27%
20%
53%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 1
GAR
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |