Castuera vs Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 4
EXT
22%
25%
54%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CAS
5 - 1
CPC
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
4 - 1
CPL
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
RCV
1 - 2
OLI
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
CDZ
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
DBN
1 - 0
OLI
65%
22%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
PLA
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |