Castuera vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
4 - 0
CAS
88%
10%
3%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 3
PUE
25%
24%
51%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 3
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 6
EXT
13%
21%
66%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AZU
1 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
HER
0 - 4
MOR
17%
23%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
MAD
19%
25%
56%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 0
MOR
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
EXT
4 - 1
MOR
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |