Castuera vs Miajadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AZU
3 - 1
CAS
46%
22%
31%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
ASJ
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
CAS
40%
26%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RCV
1 - 3
CAS
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 2
CDZ
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Miajadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MIA
1 - 3
UDF
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JER
2 - 1
MIA
77%
16%
6%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MIA
0 - 2
EXT
14%
23%
63%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MAD
6 - 1
MIA
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MIA
1 - 1
CPC
40%
24%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |