Castuera vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ADL
2 - 0
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
CDD
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 3
EXT
23%
24%
54%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 2
JER
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
JER
5 - 1
ADL
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CDD
1 - 2
JER
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
JER
3 - 0
VAL
85%
11%
4%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
EXT
4 - 1
JER
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |