Castuera vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
CAS
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
5 - 2
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 2
COR
14%
21%
65%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
EXT
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
JER
2 - 2
COR
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 3
JER
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
JER
3 - 1
EXT
69%
17%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CPC
2 - 1
JER
74%
18%
9%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
JER
2 - 2
DBN
37%
27%
36%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |