Castuera vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
58.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SNV
1 - 0
CAS
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDZ
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDB
3 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
MOR
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
JER
2 - 1
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DPC
0 - 3
JER
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JER
3 - 0
SAM
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
COR
3 - 1
JER
41%
27%
33%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CDZ
1 - 0
JER
20%
26%
54%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |