Castuera vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+115%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CDB
1 - 1
CAS
15%
19%
67%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
ZAL
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
CAS
8%
16%
76%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
CPG
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
USA
2 - 3
CAS
33%
23%
43%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GIM
4 - 0
OLY
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAM
5 - 1
GIM
78%
13%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GIM
2 - 3
CAM
30%
24%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
4 - 0
GIM
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 1
UCL
42%
23%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |