Castuera vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAD
4 - 1
CAS
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
COR
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 2
CPC
15%
22%
63%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AZU
1 - 1
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
EMD
1 - 0
JER
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ADL
1 - 2
EMD
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EMD
1 - 1
CDD
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
EMD
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
EMD
1 - 1
EXT
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |