Castuera vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TRU
2 - 0
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 3
EMD
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
EMD
1 - 1
CAS
42%
26%
32%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
CIU
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CIU
0 - 4
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
EMD
0 - 1
COR
11%
19%
70%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 3
EMD
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
EMD
1 - 1
CAS
42%
26%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MON
0 - 4
EMD
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
EMD
0 - 0
MON
31%
24%
46%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |