Castuera vs CD Talarrubias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
CAS
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAM
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 1
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
OLY
72%
16%
11%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 0
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Talarrubias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 1
GUA
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 2
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
4 - 0
CDT
74%
14%
12%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CDT
0 - 2
GIM
42%
23%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
OLY
1 - 3
CDT
28%
22%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |