Castuera vs CD Don Álvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
4º
18º
6º
32
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 4
CAS
29%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
AZU
34%
24%
43%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAS
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 3
UDF
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DBN
3 - 0
CAS
73%
17%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
MOR
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 1
CDD
54%
23%
22%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
OLI
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
JER
1 - 0
CDD
60%
23%
18%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |