Castuera vs CD Azuaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 1
CAS
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 1
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
DPC
25%
25%
50%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 2
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 2
COR
13%
20%
67%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
CD Azuaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AZU
2 - 4
MOR
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DPC
0 - 1
AZU
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AZU
1 - 0
SAM
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
AZU
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AZU
0 - 3
DBN
46%
24%
31%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -2 |