Castuera vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
EXT
2 - 0
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 1
CPC
9%
19%
72%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
DBN
3 - 0
CAS
75%
17%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
ARR
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PUE
2 - 2
CAS
68%
20%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
COR
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 3
PLA
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
EXT
1 - 1
CAL
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
CPC
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DBN
1 - 1
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |