Castuera vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 1
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
EMD
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
EMD
1 - 2
CAS
34%
25%
41%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
CPG
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CPG
1 - 1
CAS
24%
23%
54%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 1
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
AMA
64%
19%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 0
SAM
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GEV
2 - 4
AMA
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 2
GEV
36%
26%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |