Castrovillari vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FCI
0 - 0
USC
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
USC
2 - 1
ASS
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GLA
2 - 2
USC
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USC
1 - 2
CAV
11%
18%
71%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
USC
65%
19%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
REN
3 - 0
DTO
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SIC
2 - 2
REN
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
REN
2 - 1
POM
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
REN
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
REN
1 - 3
TUR
52%
26%
22%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |