Castrovillari vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
4 - 2
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
BAR
10%
22%
68%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 3
USC
41%
22%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
USC
2 - 1
SAN
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
ROC
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CIT
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOC
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUR
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |