Castrovillari vs Giarre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
USC
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
USC
2 - 1
SMC
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 2
USC
83%
12%
4%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
USC
4 - 0
CIT
15%
19%
66%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +5 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAV
2 - 1
USC
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Giarre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
SMC
2 - 1
GIA
70%
17%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
GIA
2 - 1
ASD
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
REN
0 - 0
GIA
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
GIA
1 - 0
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CIT
3 - 1
GIA
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |