Castrovillari vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
53.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
USC
0 - 1
BIA
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
LIC
3 - 0
USC
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
USC
3 - 1
ASD
54%
25%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 0
USC
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SMC
0 - 0
GEL
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
REN
1 - 2
GEL
21%
28%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
GEL
5 - 1
ASD
72%
19%
10%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
GEL
18%
26%
56%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
GEL
0 - 1
ACI
50%
27%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |