Castrovillari vs Due Torri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TUR
2 - 1
USC
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
USC
0 - 0
SIC
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RAA
2 - 1
USC
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
USC
2 - 2
SAN
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
REN
2 - 1
USC
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Due Torri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
POM
2 - 0
DTO
50%
26%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 1
GEL
22%
26%
53%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 0
DTO
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 2
SIC
22%
26%
53%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 2
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |