Castrovillari vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
USC
2 - 0
PAL
19%
21%
61%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
REN
1 - 1
USC
69%
20%
12%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
USC
0 - 1
FCI
23%
21%
57%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 0
USC
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
USC
3 - 1
GLA
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
CCI
5 - 0
ACP
78%
14%
9%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ACI
3 - 0
CCI
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 0
CCI
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CCI
0 - 3
NOC
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
CCI
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |