Castrovillari vs Troina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 4
USC
24%
22%
55%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
MES
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ACI
3 - 1
USC
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
FCS
20%
26%
55%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SSC
3 - 2
USC
64%
19%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 1
STO
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 1
ACI
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASD
19%
22%
60%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 0
SSC
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
ACC
1 - 0
ASD
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |