Castrovillari vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 3
USC
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
USC
1 - 0
TRA
7%
18%
75%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
USC
40%
25%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USC
2 - 2
ACI
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 0
USC
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
BIA
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
GIA
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
SMC
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
TRA
7%
17%
75%
|
22 | 60 | 38 | +1 |