Castrovillari vs San Luca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
USC
0 - 0
REN
49%
26%
26%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BIA
0 - 3
USC
11%
18%
72%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
USC
3 - 1
LIC
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 1
USC
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
USC
0 - 1
REN
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
LUC
4 - 5
ASD
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 3
SMC
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
GIA
5 - 1
LUC
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
REN
1 - 2
LUC
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 2
SAN
57%
22%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |