Castrovillari vs As Sersale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GLA
2 - 2
USC
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USC
1 - 2
CAV
11%
18%
71%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
USC
65%
19%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
USC
2 - 2
NFR
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
USC
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
As Sersale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
NFR
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DTO
2 - 1
ASS
73%
18%
9%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 3
GRA
10%
17%
73%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SIC
1 - 0
ASS
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
POM
9%
17%
74%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | +2 |