Castrovillari vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
68%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 3
USC
41%
22%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
USC
2 - 1
SAN
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
ROC
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
USC
33%
22%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
USC
0 - 2
NOC
28%
23%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CIT
82%
14%
5%
|
66 | 26 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 3
BAR
6%
20%
73%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
LOC
80%
15%
6%
|
67 | 26 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAR
9%
22%
70%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
TUR
84%
13%
3%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |