Castrovillari vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 2
USC
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 4
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
4 - 2
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 1
BAR
10%
22%
68%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 3
USC
41%
22%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 2
CIT
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCI
0 - 2
ACI
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 1
LOC
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
3 - 1
ACI
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |