Castroverde vs Matela AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1972%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GOI
0 - 1
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 1
FRI
84%
11%
6%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
CAT
82%
11%
6%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 3
CAS
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
CAZ
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Matela AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 0
ROU
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
COM
0 - 3
MAT
24%
20%
55%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 4
MAC
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ABA
2 - 4
MAT
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GOI
3 - 3
MAT
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |